Electoral scene
Can I.N.D.I.A. Wrest Power From Modi-Led N.D.A? Detailed ABP-CVoter Survey Result For 2024 LS Polls? https://news.abplive.com/news/india/abp-cvoter-lok-sabha-elections-2024-opinion-poll-bjp-india-opposition-alliance-seats-narendra-modi-congress-news-1652373
| BJP/N.D.A | Congress/I.N.D.I.A | Others | ||||
|
East 150 |
80 to 90 | 50 to 50 | 10 to 20 | |||
| 42.00% | 38.00% | 20.00% | ||||
| North 180 | 150-160 | 20-30 | 0-5 | |||
| 50.00% | 36.00% | 14.00% | ||||
| South 132 | 20-30 | 70-80 | 25 to 35 | |||
| 19.00% | 40.00% | 41.00% | ||||
| West 78 | 45 -55 | 25 - 35 | 0 - 5 | |||
| 46.00% | 37.00% | 17.00% | ||||
| National 543 | 295 to 335 | 165 to 205 | 35 to 65 | |||
| 42.00% | 38.00% | 20.00% | ||||
ABP C-Voter Opinion Poll for Lok Sabha 2024: Modi to Return 3rd Term or Godi Media’s Bluff? Samta Marg https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HESN2yUP8zY
टीवी चैनलों के ओपिनियन पोल की दिल्ली की पब्लिक ने निकाल दी हवा ? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nIic5JDN6nA
The major imponderable at the moment (of the survey) , was perhaps ..
1. What would be the situation if the INDIA alliance is able to strike state wise seat sharing deal in 300 to 400 of the constituencies.
2. If the INDIA alliance is able to demonstrate some alternative model of coalition decision making?
India Alliance Seat Share: Congress नेता Jairam Ramesh ने बता दिया सीट शेयरिंग का पूरा प्लान https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cgmbJ6OosEc Congress approaching it with seriousness with Open Mind and Closed Mouth
Live Hindustan
INDIA Alliance Gears Up For 2024 https://youtu.be/GlZbF3ft3jM?t=217 Does It Have A Plan To Take On BJP? | Editorial With Sujit Nair You need the 14% who an the fence, and some people who are supporting MOdi.. which means you have to say what you have to offer, besides "Not Modi".. Insight to consolidate the vote segment.
Sreenivasan Jain @SreenivasanJain
As elections approach, we are likely to see the BJP and its supporters intensify accusations of Muslim appeasement. But are Indian Muslims indeed the beneficiaries of undue favours? https://twitter.com/SreenivasanJain/status/1771842332956021101?s=20
https://twitter.com/i/status/1771842332956021101 the authors interrogate some theories that are part of the landscape of WhatsApp chats and social media feeds of millions of Indians every day. Chapter 1 examines ‘love jihad’, perhaps the most ascendant of all these claims. Starting with the first known case of ‘love jihad’, the authors investigate arguably the only definitive list of ‘love jihad’ cases. They travel to the state where the largest number of arrests have been made under new anti-love jihad laws to explore if the crackdown is justified. Chapter 2 places ‘population jihad’—the claim that Muslims are waging a holy war by producing more children—under the scanner.
Chapter 3 scrutinizes the Hindutva claim of a sinister Christian scheme to take over India through mass forced conversions. Chapter 4 examines the theory of Muslim appeasement, probing assertions like unequal availability of electricity on Diwali and Eid, the hajj subsidy, funds to madrasas, and the favourite bugbear of the Hindu Right: Muslim men being able to take up to four wives.
For 2024, Opposition is still in the game https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/yogendra-yadav-writes-for-2024-opposition-is-still-in-the-game-9058961/
.. the BJP has not received a massive popular endorsement in the latest round.
Suppose the citizens of these states vote exactly the same way next year as they did in the recent assembly elections, the net gainer will
be Congress, not the BJP.
If we add up assembly-wise votes for each parliamentary seat, the tally will be
24 for BJP and 5 for the Congress in Madhya Pradesh (compared to 28-1 in 2019),
8 for BJP and 3 for the Congress in Chhattisgarh (9-2 in 2019),
14 for BJP and 11 for Congress in Rajasthan (24-0 in 2019) and
0 for the BJP and 9 for the Congress in Telangana (4-3 in 2019). In all, it would mean
46 seats for the BJP (loss of 19) and 28 seats for the Congress (gain of 22)
Look at the big picture.
In 2019, the BJP won 303 seats, just 30 seats above the majority mark.
The BJP faces significant depletions in Bengal, Karnataka Maharashtra) and Uttar Pradesh
Add to it near-certain but minor losses in Himachal Pradesh, Haryana, Telangana and Assam.
- BJP’s Rajasthan manifesto: Anti-Romeo squads, ‘freebies’ & wheat procurement at ‘bonus’ prices
- NDA analysis
- Election strategy in MP
- Bihar Emerges as a Template to Counter Hindutva Narrative
- Gandhi remains the main glue to defeat BJP in 2024: Prashat Kishore
- BJP को कैसे हरा सकता INDIA गठबंधन
- 2024 में 5% वोट भी पलटे तो नहीं बनेगी मोदी सरकार,
- 2024 का चुनाव जीतने के लिए BJP किसी भी हद तक जा सकती है
- Hindutva Outfit Asks Voters to Back Candidates Who Support Hindu Rashtra in 2024 Polls
- PUCL Dialogues - Karnataka Assembly Elections & Role of Civil Society
- The Road to Delhi Passes Through States
- Civil Society Role in Karnataka Elections
- Modi has lost the charm he had
- ‘Modi Magic’ Is Nothing But BJP PR Amplified by Media
- Cracks Appear in the Modi Coalition, and It’s Not Just Karnataka
- Karnataka chose compassion and genuine connection over megalomania Tushar Gandhi
- Civil society activists in Maharashtra enter ‘Battleground 2024’ against BJP
- Ramachandra Guha On What The Karnataka Election Results Mean | Karan Thapar Live With Ram Guha
- A Vote Against ‘40% Commission’, ‘Double Engine Sarkar’ and the Politics of Hindutva
- Cleaning the Virus, by idenitfying it first.. Kanhaiya Kumar
- To Beat BJP in 2024, Opposition Needs State-Level Alliances to Ensure One-to-One Fight
- Rahul Gandhi Trying to break the hynoptic spell
- Thanks to Modi Saab, He is Turning Rahul Into Gandhi
- A Turning Point ?
- Eddelu Karnataka
- Gurjar queens, Vokkaliga warriors: How BJP is inventing history for a new Hindutva caste politics
- Rahul Gandhi पर हमला
- Key parties turning away from Congress
- What explains the Congress-BJP fracas over Rahul Gandhi?
- Method in madness in BJP's use of ED
- Congress BJP- third front play
- Recent Developments Have Made Modi Look "Weak and Vulnerable"
- Congress is being looked up to by opposition
- फर्जीवाड़े से चुनाव जीतने की कोशिश
- Lok Sabha Chunav 2024 में BJP को हराने का फॉर्मूला!
- गडकरी और राजनाथ का दावा पसीने छुड़ा देगा साहेब के || Modi || Nitin Gadkari
- Nitish Kumar asks Congress to take an early decision
- Opposition & Modi Politics
- Bihar Left..
- Secret Election Funding! Will BJP Give an Account for Rs 2700 Crore
- MEA & BJP Slam Hatchet Job On Modi | Diaspora Protests Bias & Agenda
- oad To 2024: BJP In Top Gear, Can Opposition Catch Up?
- RSS Drawing Line For Muslims?
- 'Ahead of LS Polls, BJP's Strategy Will Be to Expand Welfarism, Hindutva Footprint'
- आखिर 2024 का मुद्दा क्या होगा? जानिए राजीव
- RSS की 100 साल की विचारधारा को 150 दिन की यात्रा से कैसे हरायेंगे
- Mission 144: BJP's Internal Assessment Shows 144 "Difficult" Lok Sabha Seats
- Kochchar and Dhoot Arrests: Setting the Stage for BJP’s 2024 Election Campaign?
- Superspreader? Yatra Todo
- For a politics of grace, compassion, togetherness
- Deepening schism & issues that seek a national mandate in 2024
- गुजरात के मुसलमानों के मन में क्या है ?
- G20, Vishwaguru & 2024
- Congress Low Key campaign in Gujarat 2022
- The Significance of Bharat Jodo Yatra
- Economic Distress, Bihar Loss Make it Vulnerable
- Decoding BJP's Gujarat
- Astrological and POlitical Prediction by Jyotish
- Gujarat changes
- Team-India dedicated to Corporate-India alias Hindu-Rashtra!
- Kejriwal writes to PM, reiterates demand for photos of gods on currency
- "Cardboard Classrooms"
- The Indian Socialist Stand - Yogendra Yadav
- The Existentialist Angst of the Once Powerful Congress Party
- Is a New Ginger Group Emerging Out of the Congress's Bharat Jodo Yatra?
- Oppn’s Show Of Unity At Mega Rally To Challenge BJP
- Decentralisation is in the Congress DNA: Rahul
- Kanhaiya Kumar on Bharat Jodo
- विपक्ष ने खोज लिया मोदी-बीजेपी को हराने का रास्ता?
- Jignesh Mevani Gujarat
- Rahul Gandhi starts Gujarat 2022 campaign
- WEAPONISING ED SHOWS MODI'S LIMITLESS AMBITION TO STAMP OUT ALL POLITICAL OPPOSITION
- No scandal, least of all corruption, can rock BJP arithmetic.
- Deep Factionalism Within Congress
- Press Release, Bharat Jodo Yatra Conclave
- In Latest Tussle, AAP Shows Only It Can Pose a Political Challenge to BJP
- CIvil Society & Bharat Jodo
- 2024 is no longer a ‘done deal’
- Who will be the face of opposition in 2024? non-Gandhi face?
- Arvind Kejriwal TOWN HALL in Gujarat
- Eight years of Modi Sarkar
- Rahul Gandhi’s speech at Chintan Shivir
- Not Winning Or Losing Only Due To Polarisation
- Jignesh Mevani is front and centre at Rahul Gandhi’s rally for tribals in Gujarat
- The New BJP: Modi and the Making of the World's Largest Political Party
- Prashant Kishor moots Sonia Gandhi as Congress chief, new working president
- Prashant Kishor Meets Gandhis
- Where are we heading?
- How a Reliance-funded firm boosts BJP’s campaigns on Facebook
- Farmers’ leaders, activists debunk exit polls; media cut off from ground realitie
- Self-confession of 200 EVMS replaced
- Why is the BJP Demonizing Akhilesh Yadav
- BJP’s social base is shrinking!
- Is the BJP losing ground in Uttar Pradesh?
- Preparing for hundred years of RSS: 2025
- Congress Culture according to Kannaiya Kumar
- Stray Cattle issue
- Suddhendra Kulkarni emphasises the need to strengthen the hand of Congress
- BJP’s social base is shrinking!
- Prashant Kishore and his view of How the Opposition comes together
Subcategories
Indian Electoral Politics: Shifting Sands
Seven decades down the line the electoral scene has changed for the worse and is currently dominated by emotive issues. The foundation of derailing the ‘this worldly’ issues was the Ram Temple movement. This movement became stronger after the implementation of Mandal Commission report. Since then the domination of emotive, identity issues is on the rise. This is reflected by the fact that in 2019, no party dared to utter the word secularism, as claimed by the winner of 2019 elections, Mr. Narendra Modi himself. He presented it as a trophy for the efforts of RSS-BJP’s political success.
https://countercurrents.org/2022/11/indian-electoral-politics-shifting-sands/
It is in this track that any issue can be given a religious turn as we witnessed its peak in the coining of phrase ‘Corona Jihad’. This showed how electoral politics can be reduced merely to game of identity issues. BJP has mastered this art over a period of last few decades. The media, which is prostrating to BJP ideology, is putting its best efforts to magnify the doings of communal stream.
Not to be left behind, Arvind Kejrival is trying to compete which these divisive efforts revolving around identity issues, in his own unique smart ways. The AAP, which in a way, is an alternate model of communal politics; is playing its Hindutva/communal card with shrewdness. Kajriwal party is also an example of blind subservience to the dictator by the other leaders of that party. As Kejriwal demanded this; all his cronies, stated saying the same. The peak of this was Atishi Marlena, who stated that this demand of Laxmi-Ganesh is not merely Kejriwal demand, it is the aspiration of 130 crore Indians! Most of the dictatorial tendencies believe they are speaking for the whole country. This is a duplicate of what Narendra Modi, when he was Chief Minister of Gujarat, used to say that he is talking on behalf of Five Crore Gujratis. India needs a party which can accommodate all sections of society with equality and dignity, apart from welfare; it also promotes employment and proactively deals with marginalized sections of society. We need a party where religion is not mixed with politics. For many, AAP began with a big promise for a better politics, but its reality is there for all to see with its trajectory leading to demanding Laxmi and Ganesh on currency notes and dumping of Jan Lokpal in the dustbin of Hisotry!
2/11/2022